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November-2011

TIMINGTRUTH.COM NEWSLETTER

2011-11-10

NEWS:

October was looking really good but then this week in November happened.  The simple fact is no one has any confidence in politicians or economists any more.  It was reported this past week that the rich in fact became richer while the rest of us, well became less well off!

If you happened not to have received the October 2011 Newsletter via email you can read it here .

 

CURRENT SIGNAL TRENDS:

The S&P 500 Index is a SELL.  The general trend remains downward.  October turned the short term trend upward but the long term trend is unchanged.  The graph below shows the S&P 500 with the trend analysis lines.  The middle blue line shows the long term trend, red line is the short term trend.
 
S&P 500 Performance as of Oct 2011

OUR STRATEGY INSIGHTS:

Last month we looked at goals and expectations for our retirement strategy.  Now we take a look at just what to expect from your TimingTruth retirement investment efforts.

  • First, expect things to be slow.  Retirement investing and long term trends occur over tens of years.  This may be the most difficult part of retirement investing.  It is so slow that we lose interest or focus.  The urgency of our short term issues often overshadow the long term perspective.  It is for this reason that we relegate most of the decision making process to our TimingTruth trend analysis software.  Software only cares about the data it processes and therefore never loses focus regardless of how long it's been.
  • Second, expect things to be consistent.  Woody Hayes is attributed with saying, "three yards and a cloud of dust" when describing his football team's offensive strategy.  TimingTruth's retirement investment strategy is a similar "three yards and a cloud of dust" strategy.  It shouldn't be exciting or tense but rather very consistent.  There will be times when others are bragging about how much money they've made but wait 5-10 years and ask them how they're doing then.  The odds are they  will have lost it just as quickly as they gained it.
  • Third, expect things to be positive.  You should see a continual and steady growth of your investment assets.  Some years you'll earn less and some years more but the general trend is slowly and consistently upward.  There will be short term down turns and some flat times but if you look at our performance graphs the long term growth is more positive when compared to the traditional Buy & Hold strategy.  You can see this positive growth over time using our Performance Tools.  Check them out.
For more details on our investment strategy visit our site links below:

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