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May-2010

TIMINGTRUTH.COM NEWSLETTER

2010-05-07

CURRENT SIGNAL TRENDS:

This past month has been interesting!  With Greece, Gulf oil spills and Goldman-Sachs pulling things down but corporate earnings  and jobs pulling things up it's anyone's guess.  The last few days haven't been encouraging.  Our subscribers will be the first to know when it's time to get out or get in.

NEWS:

Well, this opening week is a bit depressing!  Europe is imploding and sucking much of the World with it.  Add to that news  the executives of many of the failed financial companies don't think they did anything wrong while blaming their demise on a conspiracy theory and you end up with a very interesting vote of no confidence.  Just in case there might have been a bright side somewhere we have the oil spill in the Gulf to further quench any optimism.  It's weeks like this that emotion must not rule your investment strategy otherwise you might simply dig a hole and put what little cash you had left in it.  So, here's a graph to cheer you up.

LONG TERM  MARKET TRENDS:

Long Term Market Indexes Performance

Just don't look closely at the last week.  Good news is that since March of 2009 things have been generally looking up.  If it changes we'll let you know.

OUT STRATEGY INSIGHTS:

When you invest matters!

SP 500 Investment Period

Estimated Return as of Today
Remarks
 1990 - 1998  0% - 220%
Depending on exactly when in this 8 year period you could be 220% up or just even.
 1999 - Jun, 2001 0% - (24%)
No matter when you invested during this period you would probably have lost money
 July, 2001 - Oct,2008
 30% - (30%)
 This period was wild.  You could be up30% or down 30%
Mar,2009 - Today
 50%

 Had you invested in Mar 2009 you would be up 50% even after this past week!


Knowing when to get into a market and when to get out may sound like an obvious statement but it is crucial.  In contrast, if one had followed our simple strategy since 1993 they would be up about 750%.  

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